ISM Mfg · NQ · 2016–2026 · 51 setups
ISM Manufacturing triggers 36 pts NQ release bars on average.
36 pts
That's the average 1-minute release candle range on ISM Mfg prints. Max 85 pts on the wild ones.
Release-bar range, year by year
Average 1-minute range, by year
4
7
17
19
29
21
58
48
51
56
46
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
Big jump after 2021, 2025 had the highest max at 85 pts.
Avg 1-min range
36 pts
max 85 pts
Wildest year
2025
56 pts avg · 85 max
Timing
10:00 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it
I size around the ISM Mfg 1m candle before 10:00 on NQ. Expect ~36 pts avg, 2022 was brutal at 58 pts — the factory number can move hard so respect the bar. Qualified setups, volatility reference only.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y NQ · check it yourself