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ISM Mfg · ES · 2016–2026 · 120 events

ISM Manufacturing moves ES 7 pts on the 1m release candle.

7 pts
That's the average 1-minute release bar range on ISM Mfg prints for ES. Max 21 pts in the biggest ones.

Release-bar range, year by year

Average 1-minute range, by year

3
1
3
6
6
6
14
9
10
12
9
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26

Clear step up in 2022+, 2025 posted the highest max 21 pts.

Avg 1-min range
7 pts
max 21 pts
Wildest year
2025
12 pts avg · 21 max
Timing
10:00 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it

I check the ISM Mfg 1m range on ES before the 10:00 print. ~7 pts avg, 2022 showed 14 pts — size your position for the manufacturing bar then trade the reaction or fade. Just range data.

Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y ES · check it yourself