Philly Fed · NQ · 2016–2026 · 48 setups
Philly Fed triggers 26 pts NQ release bars on average.
26 pts
That's the average 1-minute release candle range on Philly Fed prints. Max 91 pts on the wild ones.
Release-bar range, year by year
Average 1-minute range, by year
1
3
6
9
19
11
24
33
28
50
44
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
Early years tiny or few events, big vol from 2022-2025.
Avg 1-min range
26 pts
max 91 pts
Wildest year
2025
50 pts avg · 91 max
Timing
8:30 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it
I check Philly Fed 1m range before the 8:30 regional print on NQ. ~26 pts avg, 2025 was 50 pts — size your position for the manufacturing survey bar. Qualified setups only, use for volatility planning.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y NQ · check it yourself