Philly Fed · ES · 2016–2026 · 120 events
Philly Fed moves ES 4 pts on the 1m release candle.
4 pts
That's the average 1-minute release bar range on Philly Fed prints for ES. Max 20 pts in the biggest ones.
Release-bar range, year by year
Average 1-minute range, by year
1
1
1
2
6
3
6
6
7
8
7
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
Uptrend through 2024-2025, 2024 max at 20 pts.
Avg 1-min range
4 pts
max 20 pts
Wildest year
2024
7 pts avg · 20 max
Timing
8:30 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it
I gauge ES risk with the Philly Fed 1m at 8:30. ~4 pts avg, 2024 hit 7 pts with 20 max — let the bar print set your initial stop width. Range reference for the regional number.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y ES · check it yourself