FOMC · ES · 2016–2026 · 85 events
FOMC moves ES 13 pts on the 1m statement bar.
13 pts
That's the average 1-minute release candle range on FOMC statements for ES. Max 65 pts in 2024.
Release-bar range, year by year
Average 1-minute range, by year
5
3
10
8
8
15
28
16
21
16
10
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
2024 had the biggest single max at 65 pts, 2022 high avg too.
Avg 1-min range
13 pts
max 65 pts
Wildest year
2024
21 pts avg · 65 max
Timing
14:00 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it
I check FOMC 1m range before the 14:00 statement to know the initial pop size on ES. ~13 pts avg, 2022-24 showed 28-21 avg with 65 max — size for the bar then watch follow through. The variants here are 1m only unlike the NQ multi-window version.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y ES · check it yourself