Seventeen news events, one setup, ten years of Silver (SI) data. Every release works the same way: you mark the pre-news high and low, wait for price to run one side, let the rejection gap form, and enter when it breaks back inside.

This is the aggregate view — the same Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) reversal tested across Consumer Price Index (CPI), Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales, PCE Inflation (PCE), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Jobless Claims and more. An optional Gold (GC) filter only keeps the trade when gold confirms the same move — silver and gold are both Comex metals, near-perfect co-movement when both are liquid. Tested on 1-minute SI data (Databento bbo-1m real fills), 2016 to 2026.

Rules: mark the pre-news high/low, sweep one side, wait for the rejection gap, enter on the break back inside. Stop one tick beyond the sweep (0.005 SI point, Comex silver tick). Target the opposite liquidity. If the opposite side gets swept before entry, the trade is dead — no edge left. The GC filter keeps a trade only if gold reaches its mirror target within the sweep window. GC data is forward-filled to cover SI's gaps.

Performance — SI, 10 years (all 17 events, TP1 + BE)

No filter: 1563 trades, profit factor 1.20, net +9.5 SI points, win rate 57.6%. With the gold filter: 922 trades, profit factor 2.00, net +21.4 SI points, win rate 68.3%. The filter drops 41% of setups while doubling the profit factor.

Why the filter matters

Silver and gold move together almost all the time. When silver hits its target but gold doesn't follow, you're looking at one metal drifting alone — usually a fakeout, not a real reversal. Demanding gold confirmation drops those and keeps the setups where both metals turn together.

Disclaimer

922 filtered trades across 10 years. SI data from Databento bbo-1m real fills, GC as SMT partner (forward-filled). AI-assisted analysis, not financial advice. Per-event breakdown coming in future sub-pages.

Multi Event · IFVG + SMT