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9:30–10:00 → 10:00–11:00: Continuation or Reversal?
NQ futures · does the 10:00–11:00 hour continue or reverse the 09:30–10:00 move? · 2543 days
Continuation (2025–26)
54.2%
leans continuation · 10-yr: 50.9%
Reversal (2025–26)
45.8%
09:30 direction reverses ~49% of the time
Avg 2nd-hour move (2025–26)
-1.7 pts
10:00–11:00 net, signed
On sweep days
50.7%
when 09:30 swept a key level — 1295 days
Recent regime (2025–26) shown. Full 2016–2026 below.
By regime
NQ · continuation vs reversal by regime window
| Regime | N | Continuation % | Reversal % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025+ ⬤ | 343 | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| 2026 ⬤ | 90 | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| 2024+ | 597 | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Full period | 2543 | 50.9% | 49.1% |