CPI week · NQ · 2023–2026 regime
In CPI week, only Wednesday actually moves.
+28%
bigger range on CPI Wednesday than a quiet Wednesday. Every other day trades like a normal week.
How much each day moves vs a normal week
Above the dotted line = bigger range than a normal week · below = smaller
−2%
+4%
+28%
−7%
−10%
MonTueWedThuFri
Wednesday is the print. The rest of CPI week is flat — Thu/Fri are actually calmer than usual.
Wednesday
The one that moves
+28% bigger range
Tuesday
Fake-out
moves around, goes nowhere
Mon · Thu · Fri
Quiet
like any normal week
How to use it
Wednesday is the only day worth treating as a CPI day. Don't size up Monday or Tuesday expecting fireworks — the "whole week is hot" idea isn't true anymore. And even Wednesday is a bigger range, not a cleaner trend.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y NQ · check it yourself