CB Confidence · ES · 2016–2026 · 120 events
CB Confidence moves ES 4 pts on the 1m release candle.
4 pts
That's the average 1-minute release bar range on CB prints for ES. Max 16 pts in the biggest ones.
Release-bar range, year by year
Average 1-minute range, by year
1
1
2
2
5
4
7
5
7
7
7
'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
Ranges grew from ~1 pt early to 6-7 pts in 2022-2026.
Avg 1-min range
4 pts
max 16 pts
Wildest year
2022
7 pts avg · 16 max
Timing
10:00 ET
1m candle at print
How to use it
I use the 1m range to right-size around CB on ES. Expect ~4 pts avg, up to 16 pts on big prints at 10:00 — don't under-size the release bar. No bias data, just respect the printed volatility.
Not advice · AI-backtested on 10y ES · check it yourself